La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5391e96ad9f3f55e0660e753f9e012148f2fc0da002bbc636249229daa9743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 13c | 6,128$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.71 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 4,344$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.34 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 3,465$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 12c | 526.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 506.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 56c | 266.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 31c | 254.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Over | 71c | 246.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 64c | 204.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 198.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 12c | 169$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 79c | 148.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Over | 15c | 133.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 123.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 98.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 55c | 89.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 15c | 78.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 61c | 35.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 41c | 31.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Over | 74c | 26.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: Real Valladolid CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.