CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs STATE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c825328f74867cdd0b659b8aca168dde0dca7653108d846407dbffd4551b7c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality Academyof Vitality Academy, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked STATE | 27c | 2,491$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.49 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed STATE | 48c | 418.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STATE | 39c | 345.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 61c | 259.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked STATE | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Vitality Academy | 49c | 222.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Vitality Academy | 42c | 158.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed STATE | 67c | 139.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked STATE | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked STATE | 67c | 131.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed STATE | 74c | 130.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vitality Academy | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 24c | 118.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…ff81backed STATE | 27c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vitality Academy | 39c | 91.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed STATE | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9746…5900backed Vitality Academy | 78c | 67.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked STATE | 32c | 67.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Vitality Academy | 25c | 63.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vitality Academy | 46c | 63.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vitality Academy | 52c | 62.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked STATE | 57c | 61.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed Vitality Academy | 80c | 57.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…610abacked Vitality Academy | 49c | 52.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…c430backed Vitality Academy | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Vitality Academy | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked STATE | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked STATE | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Vitality Academy | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked STATE | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed STATE | 65c | 34.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vitality Academy | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Vitality Academy | 76c | 30.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 52 | 86.5%45 W · 7 L | +9.9wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Vitality Academy | 62c | 30.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed STATE | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…9ab5backed Vitality Academy | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs STATE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsVitality Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs STATE - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.