Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd4c40ab1120761f21b2ba0387f717c7d2c4d492a8c5b145ce4f6ce596a6c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 56c | 299.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 299.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Yes | 46c | 243.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 224.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 177.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 76c | 158.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 46c | 136.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 24c | 136.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 23c | 71.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 48.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 54c | 44.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 54c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens leading at halftime?this page
- Stade Brestois 29 leading at halftime?Yes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.