CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3b477ebb2e76e2c7918ac3de6bef55cf9d718a637445c2a6e64aad104c84cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance | 60c | 3,608$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.69 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Metizport | 41c | 1,050$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.5 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Metizport | 26c | 680.9$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.49 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Metizport | 39c | 646.15$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.15 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Metizport | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Metizport | 41c | 537$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.83 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Alliance | 57c | 506.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Metizport | 41c | 282.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Metizport | 42c | 268$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Metizport | 40c | 255.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Metizport | 40c | 213.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Alliance | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Metizport | 40c | 149.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Metizport | 40c | 148.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Metizport | 24c | 127.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Metizport | 39c | 117.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Metizport | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 74c | 107.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…79febacked Metizport | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance | 64c | 89.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a08…12d9backed Alliance | 64c | 50.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Alliance | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Metizport | 39c | 29.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Alliance | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.