CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f7c8ef9ed3dbb90fd24df70c4cafbccd8328e8388bbd6370bd3552bb6bd75c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Metizport, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.98 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Metizport | 27c | 1,027$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metizport | 44c | 871.35$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Metizport | 45c | 751.09$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.33 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe296…046ebacked Metizport | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Alliance | 46c | 509.27$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.27 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Alliance | 57c | 498.58$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Metizport | 44c | 485.7$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Metizport | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Metizport | 45c | 330$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Metizport | 47c | 251.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Metizport | 56c | 220.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Metizport | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Metizport | 22c | 155$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…cf93backed Metizport | 65c | 153.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Metizport | 47c | 136.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Alliance | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Metizport | 60c | 125.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance | 55c | 117.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Metizport | 45c | 111.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Alliance | 50c | 109.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Metizport | 48c | 108.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Metizport | 58c | 103.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Alliance | 68c | 98.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…dc5abacked Metizport | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Alliance | 37c | 80.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Metizport | 39c | 77.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Metizport | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Metizport | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Alliance | 37c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance | 56c | 58.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alliance | 56c | 51.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Metizport | 50c | 49.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Alliance | 67c | 41.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed Metizport | 57c | 37.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport | 43c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Metizport | 45c | 35.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Alliance | 38c | 26.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Metizport | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Metizport | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Alliance | 62c | 16.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.