Fifa International · resolved market
Will Latvia win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dae76878eed71a53d4d8c62d8be5dcb2e967550bbd30354ae4fac922820dcca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 6,329$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 2,743$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.25 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 47c | 1,103$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.71 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 883.04$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.4 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 59c | 827.47$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.79 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…785ebacked No | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 524.88$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 63c | 498.44$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 22c | 488.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 451.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed No | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 17c | 428.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 18c | 401.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes | 77c | 319.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Yes | 47c | 314.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…34f9backed Yes | 78c | 300.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…f164backed No | 22c | 297.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 72c | 217.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 19c | 149.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Yes | 80c | 147.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 117.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 60c | 114.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 103.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 64c | 103.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 42c | 98.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 98.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 56c | 97.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 15c | 83.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 55c | 74.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 16c | 71.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 39c | 70.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 37c | 60.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 32c | 58.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 43c | 56.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 32c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 79c | 26.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Yes | 48c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…db25backed Yes | 58c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Latvia win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Gibraltar win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Latvia vs. Gibraltar end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.