Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc894c0ef4ff71494842d6c43ec1ec37afdc63c2eb2c1d4ced9f8c303dfeff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Irvine Anteatersof UC Irvine Anteaters, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 8,953$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.12 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 45c | 2,386$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 2,327$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.51 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 1,972$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.82 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 1,796$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.74 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 1,076$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 932.28$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 46c | 461.28$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 439$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.28 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 267$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 29c | 130$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…182fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 45c | 59.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 44c | 57.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 30.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…3ec2backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)this page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine AnteatersUC Irvine Anteaters won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.