Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddf4f1f0d8dd46f98154417efcfe779ac3dad772d0855b7f481e05e24170d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 19,204$10,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,185.79 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 47c | 10,240$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.47 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 8,132$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 55c | 4,138$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 48c | 2,344$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 45c | 1,344$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 45c | 668.57$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.27 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 551$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 282$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 281.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 28c | 270.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 53c | 236.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…1852backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 143.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 113.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 11c | 102.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 50.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 44.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 54c | 24.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 141.5this page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine AnteatersUC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.