TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked65c767.05$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.025,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nuclear TigeRES34c336.16$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.519543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nuclear TigeRES35c311.37$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0955843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Lavked62c266.32$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1250043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Nuclear TigeRES38c240$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.850358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES21c111.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.784,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Nuclear TigeRES36c103.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4418747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Lavked64c101.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nuclear TigeRES38c92.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.262,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES32c86.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.126,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lavked63c73.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.352,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Nuclear TigeRES38c65.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Lavked64c62.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff6…07f9backed Lavked64c31.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%22 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Lavked65c18.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8815351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked64c16.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.