CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2738ba6dcd0acff1d9cd7215c579dc5715581c4d264502ef100ff2344ee8cbcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 65c | 7,645$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 6,156$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.12 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 67c | 1,436$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 19c | 1,290$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.56 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 1,229$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.13 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked | 65c | 1,085$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 933.02$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.13 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Lavked | 64c | 777.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 700.49$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 600.89$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.89 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 468.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.42 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 439.59$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.3 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 435.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 431.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 64c | 430.53$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 404.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.67 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 385.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 373$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 326.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 320$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Nuclear TigeRES | 23c | 310.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Lavked | 58c | 287.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…8799backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 248$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Lavked | 64c | 195$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 193.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 68c | 178.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Lavked | 65c | 161.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Lavked | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ee…6863backed Lavked | 55c | 147.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 32c | 137.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Lavked | 65c | 126.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 125.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 114.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 109.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Lavked | 62c | 107.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Lavked | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lavked | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lavked | 65c | 92.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lavked | 63c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 65.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 184 | 50%92 W · 92 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked Lavked | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 61.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Lavked | 65c | 58.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Lavked | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 32.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Lavked | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 30.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…4e9ebacked Lavked | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Lavked | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Lavked | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…3c85backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Lavked | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.