Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dee931e464a8cf60ffc9e6747f5e71ec28243cac3744250965e0f5aab460a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf888…1c98backed Yes | 38c | 757.54$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 726.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 600.21$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 549.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 376.32$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 352.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 337.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 327.88$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 29c | 321$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 25c | 272.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 272.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 254.56$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 28c | 251.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 233.9$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Yes | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 101.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 30c | 67.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 58.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes | 30c | 56.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Yes | 28c | 52.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 26c | 43.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed No | 72c | 39.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 71c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 72c | 24.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 72c | 24.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed No | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.