Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3deca9ba6468020c0367dd8d8e2278963ba131d3ed52e078a87b4b8d451aca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 23c | 2,193$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.56 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 1,835$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 1,690$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.11 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed No | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 1,207$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 47c | 1,052$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 45c | 553.76$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked No | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 18c | 347.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 330.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 49c | 325.71$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 23c | 318$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 78c | 238.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 38c | 219$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 73c | 218.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 203.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 202.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 52c | 191.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 165.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 77c | 160.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 43c | 149.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 126.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 64c | 123.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 123$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 70c | 106.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 103.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 43c | 98.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 24c | 89.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 17c | 77.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 22c | 71.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 70.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 47c | 69.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 30c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 66.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1db9backed Yes | 68c | 66.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 65.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…d611backed No | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 39c | 63.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 53c | 60.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 56c | 40.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 51c | 39.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 27c | 38.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 51c | 38.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked No | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 46c | 36.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Yes | 76c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.