CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df3d9bea30cc1ad25c644adb82c82e44e605bb01aa86ea1730064a797990cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Grêmio Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Keyd | 78c | 3,031$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.59 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Grêmio Esports | 18c | 1,028$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Grêmio Esports | 22c | 577.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Grêmio Esports | 13c | 524$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 511.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Grêmio Esports | 22c | 509.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Keyd | 79c | 481.84$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Grêmio Esports | 21c | 466.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Keyd | 79c | 435$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Grêmio Esports | 24c | 418.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked Grêmio Esports | 21c | 351.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 254.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Grêmio Esports | 11c | 237.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Grêmio Esports | 23c | 224.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Grêmio Esports | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Grêmio Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grêmio Esports | 21c | 197.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 188.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Keyd | 78c | 177.79$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 154$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Keyd | 79c | 126.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Grêmio Esports | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Grêmio Esports | 17c | 90.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 78c | 82.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Grêmio Esports | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Grêmio Esports | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Keyd | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Keyd | 77c | 67.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Keyd | 78c | 35.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Keyd | 79c | 26.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Keyd | 79c | 21.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Keyd | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Keyd | 79c | 18.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Keyd | 78c | 16.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Keyd | 79c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.