Other European Leagues · resolved market
Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0932c50ca8471051a2437ce08baeaf88cea3b7b87601b87d5cddfd75cfe143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,978$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,864$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Over | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 1,023$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 63c | 793.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 626.89$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 589.36$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 469.76$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 54c | 213$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 49c | 122.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 61.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 39c | 53.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 48.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…04abbacked Over | 54c | 43.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Under | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 31.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 47c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Under | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 30.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 54c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 27.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 66c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dundee FC (-1.5)Dundee FC won
- Spread: Dundee FC (-2.5)Dundee United FC won
- Spread: Dundee United FC (-1.5)Dundee FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.