Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica beat Feyenoord?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e1be5fac86046ce62b9480e5ef6f46671f18acee5de7a8d9d47d7eedb58cf9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 25c | 8,405$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 35c | 1,713$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.02 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Yes | 65c | 1,192$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…8b5bbacked No | 61c | 745.13$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…ef38backed Yes | 34c | 589.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 34c | 490.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 66c | 428.1$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 69c | 356.14$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 36c | 201.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 32c | 134.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 31c | 111.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…5355backed No | 69c | 111.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 100.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…b877backed Yes | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…35dabacked Yes | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d9…9e1abacked Yes | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe198…939cbacked Yes | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…0b00backed Yes | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…ac33backed Yes | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…c3b2backed No | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…5d3abacked No | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd8fbacked No | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…0bd9backed No | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…8ba5backed No | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c58…3e8bbacked No | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…b03dbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 64c | 37.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…3843backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…4a95backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ad…c375backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…ad80backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…ab13backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…6053backed Yes | 67c | 19.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…ec37backed Yes | 68c | 18.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica beat Feyenoord?this page
- Will Feyenoord beat Benfica?Yes won
- Will the match between Benfica and Feyenoord end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.