Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2e0e14d623846b7c53b04f527358381c709d5a8f5a83d0b4b2bde8934e1e07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,756 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed JD Gaming | 69c | 723.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 216.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed JD Gaming | 38c | 216.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 200.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked JD Gaming | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 138.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked JD Gaming | 32c | 133.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked JD Gaming | 32c | 119.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 102.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…dfc2backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 90.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 77.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked JD Gaming | 73c | 58.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed JD Gaming | 32c | 52.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked JD Gaming | 39c | 50.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…fec8backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 32.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…6512backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…661ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.