TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,839 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JD Gaming36c3,787$1,380 inLost-$1,379.991,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Bilibili Gaming67c2,236$1,509 inWon+$726.98638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Bilibili Gaming59c671.42$397 inWon+$274.5614652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed JD Gaming42c386$164 inLost-$163.725156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Bilibili Gaming48c300$144 inWon+$15614447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming54c292.34$157 inWon+$135.281,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Bilibili Gaming68c268.68$182 inWon+$86.6812656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedce…412ebacked JD Gaming25c188.44$47 inLost-$47.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming55c181$100 inWon+$81.3181834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bilibili Gaming61c150.99$91 inWon+$59.6166638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Bilibili Gaming46c135.63$62 inWon+$73.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked JD Gaming11c92.58$10 inLost-$10.182729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed JD Gaming27c80.49$21 inLost-$21.3723146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ae…191cbacked JD Gaming48c51.82$25 inLost-$24.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Bilibili Gaming48c47.15$23 inWon+$24.526852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked Bilibili Gaming67c43.56$29 inWon+$14.565660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked JD Gaming59c33.9$20 inLost-$2051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5facbacked Bilibili Gaming67c29.85$20 inWon+$9.852657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd34…830cbacked Bilibili Gaming59c20$12 inWon+$8.152653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.