CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e3e81dcdae874a171985bc7d28ea8b30886034c405edb39f70e6473841b812c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WRAITH PCIFICof WRAITH PCIFIC, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5008…9466backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 225.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 57c | 192.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bushido Wildcats | 31c | 189.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Bushido Wildcats | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 50c | 164$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 55c | 141.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 103.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 66c | 101.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Bushido Wildcats | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 53c | 83.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 69.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 79c | 42.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 72c | 37.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 64c | 36.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 32.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…10d7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 76c | 29.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.