Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e5eec08f59efa77e023d24396ed885e7a1b7c8da7632746cf69d9d7ae0d9dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 32c | 642.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 68c | 620$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 79c | 534.6$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 68c | 515.78$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.05 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 18c | 383.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 32c | 281.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 25c | 239.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 32c | 212.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Under | 76c | 199.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 75c | 189.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Under | 75c | 153.19$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 19c | 140.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 33c | 110.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 67c | 109.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 33c | 98.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 25c | 96.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814b…2fa1backed Under | 75c | 86.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 38c | 76.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 67c | 75.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 75c | 70.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 28c | 60.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 24c | 59.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…30e0backed Over | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 74c | 53.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked Under | 80c | 49.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 26c | 49.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 72c | 49.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 32c | 47.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 69c | 39.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…db87backed Over | 33c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…3be2backed Under | 73c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…05eabacked Under | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d58…cd43backed Under | 79c | 18.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Under | 75c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.