MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ecfa4680a77d57fedc5baa25fec199fbd191f9345946d146f5f3bcf4e67206d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NC Dinos | 73c | 1,324$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.62 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed NC Dinos | 50c | 1,130$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.57 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 20c | 801.01$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 605.68$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 600.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 563.05$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 69c | 544.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 519.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 484.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 74c | 363.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 76c | 302.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed NC Dinos | 71c | 234$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 187.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 140.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 75c | 110.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 20c | 101.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 95.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed NC Dinos | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03a…4e9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 73.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 53.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 50.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NC Dinos | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 31.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos | 69c | 24.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed NC Dinos | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 69c | 22.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 72c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed NC Dinos | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 71c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.