CS2 · resolved market
IEM Dallas: GamerLegion vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6b84eb098c97061a9e8c86db611db7024fcc68438de755fee11ac4dc488065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed FURIA | 63c | 993.57$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 858.12$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.61 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…6c82backed FURIA | 61c | 595$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 493.16$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…a761backed GamerLegion | 39c | 480$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked FURIA | 63c | 477.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed FURIA | 64c | 466.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…be45backed FURIA | 61c | 375$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed FURIA | 42c | 356.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 33c | 350$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 38c | 296.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked GamerLegion | 75c | 290$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed GamerLegion | 56c | 272$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FURIA | 28c | 234.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed GamerLegion | 73c | 215$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…e090backed GamerLegion | 39c | 215$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed FURIA | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…18a6backed FURIA | 55c | 187.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed FURIA | 36c | 149.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4efabacked GamerLegion | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA | 26c | 131.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 651 | 52.5%342 W · 309 L | +25.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa90c…82e8backed GamerLegion | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…2b2cbacked FURIA | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed GamerLegion | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e1d3backed GamerLegion | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked FURIA | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GamerLegion | 36c | 63.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GamerLegion | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 425 | 57.4%244 W · 181 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…b5cbbacked FURIA | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…48c1backed GamerLegion | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 263 | 43.3%114 W · 149 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed FURIA | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed FURIA | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…7bb1backed FURIA | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked FURIA | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed GamerLegion | 45c | 22.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked GamerLegion | 72c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.