Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f70d4bbb7e65d88beba3fa50ee83aeefb4bd28a19bb15a3d30853a51e94a092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniuses Academyof Evil Geniuses Academy, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 330.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed M80 | 34c | 286.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed M80 | 69c | 244.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed M80 | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked M80 | 51c | 167.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 148.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 50c | 145.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 73c | 134.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked M80 | 61c | 119.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…92d4backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 42c | 83.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 63.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 57.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…d4bbbacked M80 | 53c | 55.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 21c | 52.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 56c | 46.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed M80 | 46c | 46.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 44c | 41.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 63c | 31.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked M80 | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked M80 | 61c | 29.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 28.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group StageM80 won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.