Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fff3614885948a96e43897088847a297a3d686381e24d383256f1a9075af7ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 3,488$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.17 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 12c | 1,852$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 19c | 1,199$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 12c | 625.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 868 | 43%373 W · 495 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 17c | 243.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 17c | 202.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 20c | 168.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 11c | 153.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 377 | 62.3%235 W · 142 L | +60.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 12c | 153.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 399 | 61.9%247 W · 152 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 11c | 153.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 349 | 59.9%209 W · 140 L | +49.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 22c | 86.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed Under | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…3763backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gangwon FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gangwon FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.