Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6bcd3228d11b3aa5329c621dc0526814640c6d3d42e1468507519004deced7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gangwon FCof Gwangju FC, Gangwon FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Gwangju FC | 2c | 3,092$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gwangju FC | 3c | 2,171$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gwangju FC | 3c | 708.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Gangwon FC | 61c | 572.67$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gwangju FC | 14c | 263.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Gwangju FC | 38c | 234.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Gangwon FC | 63c | 220.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Gangwon FC | 65c | 143.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Gwangju FC | 33c | 138.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Gangwon FC | 24c | 130.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Gangwon FC | 56c | 128.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Gwangju FC | 53c | 120.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +12.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Gangwon FC | 63c | 107.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gwangju FC | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gangwon FC | 66c | 69.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed Gwangju FC | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Gangwon FC | 64c | 26.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gangwon FC | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gangwon FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gangwon FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.