Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x100d03600d3c5cfc77e538328aeacc77ed2f8b7d773e5717e620862bdbe6f614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 3,198$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 62c | 2,630$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.77 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 58c | 1,026$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 1,009$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.81 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 736.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.86 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 404.21$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 62c | 366.71$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…460cbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 53c | 153.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Over | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 47c | 105.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.