Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn Quakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1015a9f150f73c9fc3ee8c9121b98724eb139c1881ffa51eb51840d9a0ebe376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Harvard Crimson, Penn Quakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Harvard Crimson | 21c | 10,731$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.16 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn Quakers | 53c | 2,282$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.37 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson | 68c | 1,995$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn Quakers | 30c | 1,799$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Penn Quakers | 34c | 1,630$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.31 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn Quakers | 38c | 1,563$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Harvard Crimson | 51c | 1,236$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Penn Quakers | 51c | 1,120$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.87 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Harvard Crimson | 49c | 1,093$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.5 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Harvard Crimson | 66c | 1,002$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.6 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Harvard Crimson | 50c | 853.29$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.04 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 566.41$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn Quakers | 63c | 512.48$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penn Quakers | 52c | 451.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Harvard Crimson | 48c | 442$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Penn Quakers | 40c | 339.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Harvard Crimson | 25c | 276.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Harvard Crimson | 18c | 272.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Harvard Crimson | 47c | 224.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 217.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Penn Quakers | 31c | 171.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Harvard Crimson | 20c | 165.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Penn Quakers | 30c | 155.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn Quakers | 57c | 137.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Harvard Crimson | 73c | 137.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Harvard Crimson | 36c | 127.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…96b1backed Penn Quakers | 77c | 116.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Penn Quakers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Harvard Crimson | 47c | 99.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Penn Quakers | 59c | 99.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Penn Quakers | 53c | 93.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Harvard Crimson | 38c | 89.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Penn Quakers | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Harvard Crimson | 47c | 85.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Harvard Crimson | 44c | 83.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Harvard Crimson | 21c | 73.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Penn Quakers | 54c | 49.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Penn Quakers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Harvard Crimson | 60c | 33.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 31.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Penn Quakers | 50c | 27.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penn Quakers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…9e2bbacked Harvard Crimson | 68c | 17.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harvard Crimson vs. Penn Quakersthis page
- Harvard Crimson vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-1.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-2.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.