CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1022c01b92efbc75a8d5fb94363b6d186414122beabd21b5b1410af40bf79e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof RUSTEC, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked RUSTEC | 46c | 2,577$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.52 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 54c | 1,889$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed WW Team | 54c | 692$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.08 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RUSTEC | 50c | 139.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked WW Team | 20c | 113.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed RUSTEC | 75c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked RUSTEC | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 52c | 97.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked WW Team | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…2030backed WW Team | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked WW Team | 48c | 41.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed WW Team | 35c | 35.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked WW Team | 41c | 32.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed RUSTEC | 78c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…8a1cbacked WW Team | 42c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked WW Team | 54c | 21.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed WW Team | 52c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…5426backed WW Team | 52c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.