Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x105514beaf1f10d71c919e34f775ac42eb2d1409318f697ea563bd7fa942f2a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 47,199$24,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,989.48 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 47c | 5,730$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 5,084$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.52 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 47c | 4,766$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.96 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 647$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.91 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Under | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 265.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 225.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 47c | 187.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Over | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 142.5this page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Seton Hall PiratesSeton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-6.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-7.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.