TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
paiN Gamingof paiN Gaming, Leviatan Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,013 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e32…ab65backed paiN Gaming45c1,468$665 inWon+$802.942,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Leviatan Esports59c1,381$815 inLost-$814.841343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Leviatan Esports61c1,311$800 inLost-$8006246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed paiN Gaming39c1,000$390 inWon+$6101,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked paiN Gaming39c928.33$362 inWon+$566.2896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Leviatan Esports60c618.9$371 inLost-$371.341,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Leviatan Esports61c583.33$356 inLost-$355.8316048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed paiN Gaming40c375$150 inWon+$22522452.7%118 W · 106 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed paiN Gaming40c128$51 inWon+$76.83033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked paiN Gaming40c95.9$38 inWon+$57.5434357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Leviatan Esports26c92.76$24 inLost-$24.122825%7 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Leviatan Esports31c63.15$20 inLost-$19.588618.6%16 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed paiN Gaming41c57.2$23 inWon+$33.751,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Leviatan Esports30c52.91$16 inLost-$15.876811.8%8 W · 60 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed paiN Gaming40c25$10 inWon+$1545841.5%190 W · 268 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Leviatan Esports60c23.46$14 inLost-$14.081,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.