Tennis · resolved market
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt), hard: Emilia Carlotta Brune vs Laia Petretic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1089bc6c66e63c728f797471616f7dd34adc2e58e2a3e405dfd608a333db8cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emilia Carlotta Bruneof Emilia Carlotta Brune, Laia Petretic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Emilia Carlotta Brune | 47c | 1,795$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.16 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Emilia Carlotta Brune | 21c | 623.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.97 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Laia Petretic | 77c | 559.08$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.14 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Laia Petretic | 70c | 362.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Laia Petretic | 66c | 309.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Laia Petretic | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Laia Petretic | 47c | 168.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Laia Petretic | 76c | 143.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Emilia Carlotta Brune | 44c | 73.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Laia Petretic | 75c | 58.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Laia Petretic | 75c | 58.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Laia Petretic | 75c | 57.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Laia Petretic | 75c | 57.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Laia Petretic | 75c | 57.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Laia Petretic | 75c | 56.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Laia Petretic | 75c | 55.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Laia Petretic | 75c | 55.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Laia Petretic | 59c | 54.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Emilia Carlotta Brune | 37c | 52.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Emilia Carlotta Brune | 42c | 52.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Laia Petretic | 75c | 51.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Laia Petretic | 69c | 27.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Laia Petretic | 77c | 25.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 136 | 59.6%81 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Laia Petretic | 79c | 15.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 178 | 60.7%108 W · 70 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.