Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. California Golden Bears (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108e9f93b94adea1f87157ef89453e724defde9eee8ffffd833c026bfb9f123a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof Santa Clara Broncos, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf0f…cef3backed California Golden Bears | 62c | 5,172$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Golden Bears | 44c | 3,784$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 2,971$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.84 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…fdbcbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 71c | 983.1$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed California Golden Bears | 21c | 651.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 11c | 403.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 140.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Santa Clara Broncos | 41c | 122.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Santa Clara Broncos | 47c | 119.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 117.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Santa Clara Broncos | 61c | 105.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked California Golden Bears | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Santa Clara Broncos | 68c | 98.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Santa Clara Broncos | 75c | 72.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Santa Clara Broncos | 45c | 69.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed California Golden Bears | 31c | 51.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Santa Clara Broncos | 65c | 40.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Santa Clara Broncos | 60c | 30.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed California Golden Bears | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Santa Clara Broncos | 69c | 24.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 58c | 23.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 18.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.