CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a93b206b6bc5cbf8cd9d5dec5e74222c924d9087ea59df15896a2568b314fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq | 50c | 1,117$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 449.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 377.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 46c | 312.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Team Novaq | 50c | 288.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Novaq | 36c | 220.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 168.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Team Novaq | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 126.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Novaq | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Novaq | 48c | 118.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 116.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Novaq | 21c | 114.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213b…362ebacked Team Novaq | 28c | 112.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Team Novaq | 50c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Novaq | 42c | 75.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Team Novaq | 51c | 59.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team Novaq | 49c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 37.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Team Novaq | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Team Novaq | 49c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group ARune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerTeam Novaq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.