CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67cdab3db5e9db67a91b4a52650dc2c529488a128144deba3eda390f6ca0aaad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq | 50c | 1,889$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Novaq | 49c | 1,004$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Team Novaq | 48c | 915.61$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 508.49$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 333.88$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Novaq | 41c | 308.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Novaq | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Novaq | 41c | 156.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 155.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Novaq | 47c | 133.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Team Novaq | 42c | 132.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Novaq | 42c | 126.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe0be…4949backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 96.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 92.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Novaq | 43c | 87.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Novaq | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 61.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 61.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Team Novaq | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 57.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Team Novaq | 55c | 45.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Novaq | 38c | 42.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Team Novaq | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 30.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Team Novaq | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Novaq | 63c | 28.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 26.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 21.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…cb46backed Team Novaq | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Team Novaq | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Novaq | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerTeam Novaq won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.