TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, Ground Zero Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8725…eb10backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming27c1,619$434 inWon+$1,185.822,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Ground Zero Gaming70c1,254$878 inLost-$877.867056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming30c1,150$345 inWon+$804.721,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ground Zero Gaming71c730.68$517 inLost-$516.791,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Ground Zero Gaming72c543.27$389 inLost-$389.0575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Ground Zero Gaming77c354.3$273 inLost-$273.391,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming48c113.68$54 inWon+$59.611060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming29c100$29 inWon+$7124941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked Ground Zero Gaming70c79.71$56 inLost-$55.9516668.7%114 W · 52 L+22.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Ground Zero Gaming76c37.44$28 inLost-$28.332853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed Ground Zero Gaming76c35.75$27 inLost-$27.176558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+136.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Ground Zero Gaming73c31.82$23 inLost-$23.1518357.9%106 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…3c72backed Ground Zero Gaming45c29.52$13 inLost-$13.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.