La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10bd51cf0ae221c70d2039e44b7a2daeb237bf473196877b06d0dbdb1a7058d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ee3…6be7backed Over | 68c | 2,937$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 2,835$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.83 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 488.66$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.19 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 475.37$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 266.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 94.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 58.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 46c | 53.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…6614backed Under | 52c | 31.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Racing Club vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.