Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10da77ec608e62fc4def334ac1cdd49fbb4ff78ff2ff10a1e63d3bed22e371eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 16c | 3,230$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,874$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 1,448$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 50c | 1,265$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 981.78$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.36 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 941.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 45c | 226.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 181.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 8c | 179.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +324.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 73c | 135.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 95.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 84.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 79.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 73c | 58.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 58.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 73c | 45.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 80c | 40.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 60c | 37.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…17c0backed Over | 51c | 37.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 37.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 35.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 72c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.