CS2 · resolved market
IEM Dallas: The MongolZ vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ec3acd5c101d5eba262905c2b744471da1ca1fe061ad2ae6b38c303ff9df5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof The MongolZ, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked G2 | 31c | 6,752$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.94 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed The MongolZ | 69c | 4,828$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed G2 | 12c | 2,107$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.53 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked The MongolZ | 80c | 1,840$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.18 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 13c | 1,555$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…18f1backed G2 | 32c | 955$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked G2 | 31c | 943.35$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…901abacked G2 | 36c | 786.11$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed The MongolZ | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed G2 | 25c | 647.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…77d2backed The MongolZ | 68c | 570$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed G2 | 31c | 531.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 9c | 448$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed The MongolZ | 78c | 367.64$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ | 70c | 335.03$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed G2 | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed The MongolZ | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked The MongolZ | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b69…3d19backed The MongolZ | 68c | 270$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed The MongolZ | 70c | 246.91$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed The MongolZ | 69c | 158.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed The MongolZ | 73c | 157.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed The MongolZ | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…7230backed G2 | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed G2 | 28c | 120.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…dad3backed The MongolZ | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked G2 | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…d0e4backed G2 | 25c | 94.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed The MongolZ | 66c | 86.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b840backed The MongolZ | 70c | 64.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked G2 | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…7d9bbacked The MongolZ | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d03ebacked G2 | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked G2 | 32c | 39.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f03…466dbacked The MongolZ | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…ada8backed The MongolZ | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.