CS2 · resolved market
PGL Astana: G2 vs. MIBR
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11105d179c16166ec36d75e7935b294a3b6f8a0353d44ba485d3e4266c9a55b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof G2, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked G2 | 55c | 14,503$8,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.83 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed G2 | 39c | 3,376$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.08 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…83bcbacked G2 | 43c | 2,100$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked MIBR | 44c | 2,046$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.89 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…41f3backed G2 | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8362…d9fdbacked MIBR | 62c | 1,132$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…0020backed MIBR | 55c | 1,035$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed G2 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MIBR | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…7718backed MIBR | 62c | 968$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…efe2backed MIBR | 55c | 965$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…0401backed MIBR | 32c | 949.34$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8235…c814backed G2 | 68c | 720$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…63b2backed G2 | 40c | 457.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed MIBR | 47c | 346$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…443cbacked G2 | 68c | 280$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MIBR | 62c | 195.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MIBR | 64c | 165.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked MIBR | 35c | 133.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked MIBR | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MIBR | 46c | 80.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked MIBR | 63c | 80.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed MIBR | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed G2 | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed MIBR | 48c | 40.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed MIBR | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…4350backed G2 | 68c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317c…f326backed G2 | 68c | 22.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.