Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Idaho Vandals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1121e305c19ef22ba1dfad50243ed76c13308666b259c63832e75d7b06e1e127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Northern Colorado Bears, Idaho Vandals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Idaho Vandals | 59c | 1,199$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Idaho Vandals | 57c | 984.4$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.19 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 27c | 952.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.76 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Northern Colorado Bears | 39c | 779.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.81 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Idaho Vandals | 40c | 692.28$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Idaho Vandals | 49c | 620.72$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.83 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho Vandals | 61c | 608.96$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 50c | 605.05$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.53 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 470.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 43c | 360.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 66c | 257.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Idaho Vandals | 61c | 170$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Idaho Vandals | 61c | 127.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Idaho Vandals | 49c | 114.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 44c | 110.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Idaho Vandals | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 99.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Northern Colorado Bears | 43c | 96.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Idaho Vandals | 58c | 79.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Colorado Bears | 45c | 75.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Idaho Vandals | 21c | 62.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Idaho Vandals | 56c | 60.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Idaho Vandals | 64c | 59.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…a283backed Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 59.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Colorado Bears | 39c | 57.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Northern Colorado Bears | 43c | 49.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Idaho Vandals | 21c | 48.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 45.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Idaho Vandals | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Northern Colorado Bears | 49c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.