MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11544b30a5dc47704beafe9f3cac17ef54865c1deb436924b71699c1ade08a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 9,860$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.75 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 2,093$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.89 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 28c | 1,526$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,219$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 1,004$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.37 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 46c | 945.97$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.81 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 43c | 806.24$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.22 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 43c | 524.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 502.53$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 415.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 358.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 345.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 45c | 341.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 316.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 309.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 282.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Over | 32c | 262.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 56c | 248.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 232.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 217.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 168.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 44c | 168.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 160.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 75c | 133.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…f392backed Over | 48c | 99.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 44c | 84.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 57c | 72.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 63.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 44c | 58.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 38c | 57.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 52.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 43c | 51.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 71c | 51.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 50.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 59c | 48.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 37.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 38c | 36.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 71c | 35.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 46c | 34.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 76c | 24.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 60c | 20.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.