CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11dbf7262918162b8c1ec38b1fb76241771dd197d58e3e0e9ade979fdf1c2c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed RUSTEC | 27c | 5,717$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.2 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed KOLESIE | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RUSTEC | 22c | 890.27$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed KOLESIE | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked KOLESIE | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RUSTEC | 25c | 427.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked KOLESIE | 72c | 400.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed KOLESIE | 72c | 360$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed RUSTEC | 28c | 340$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed RUSTEC | 15c | 323.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked RUSTEC | 19c | 293.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE | 76c | 286.24$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed KOLESIE | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed RUSTEC | 13c | 252$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed KOLESIE | 72c | 200.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked RUSTEC | 24c | 190.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed RUSTEC | 13c | 185.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 79c | 167.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed RUSTEC | 14c | 166$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed KOLESIE | 63c | 158.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 71c | 130.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 16c | 113.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 78c | 111.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed RUSTEC | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked RUSTEC | 25c | 80.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed KOLESIE | 78c | 72.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked RUSTEC | 38c | 50.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked KOLESIE | 74c | 41.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RUSTEC | 31c | 37.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed KOLESIE | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed KOLESIE | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked KOLESIE | 78c | 14.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.