CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a009ea271dca197130270d49f2a27fa1625acbb72970db1798021358792de6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed RUSTEC | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed RUSTEC | 36c | 1,910$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.25 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…09e5backed KOLESIE | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed KOLESIE | 54c | 1,216$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.45 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 57c | 1,132$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed KOLESIE | 58c | 1,022$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.43 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RUSTEC | 33c | 873.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed RUSTEC | 41c | 859.92$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.89 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RUSTEC | 22c | 846.63$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked RUSTEC | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 68c | 470.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed RUSTEC | 36c | 400.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 64c | 361.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC | 41c | 349.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 24c | 321.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked RUSTEC | 43c | 320.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed KOLESIE | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked RUSTEC | 43c | 270.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed KOLESIE | 57c | 256.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked RUSTEC | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked RUSTEC | 44c | 242.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed RUSTEC | 6c | 235$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed RUSTEC | 41c | 209$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked RUSTEC | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RUSTEC | 37c | 196.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed KOLESIE | 64c | 186.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RUSTEC | 24c | 172.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed RUSTEC | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…150ebacked KOLESIE | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RUSTEC | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed KOLESIE | 60c | 137$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed KOLESIE | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RUSTEC | 50c | 133.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed RUSTEC | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked RUSTEC | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 62c | 117.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed RUSTEC | 40c | 117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RUSTEC | 43c | 113.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed RUSTEC | 22c | 110.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked RUSTEC | 42c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked RUSTEC | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked RUSTEC | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked RUSTEC | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed KOLESIE | 52c | 95.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed RUSTEC | 21c | 91.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed KOLESIE | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed RUSTEC | 41c | 84.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed RUSTEC | 22c | 83.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked RUSTEC | 34c | 79.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed RUSTEC | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed KOLESIE | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed KOLESIE | 58c | 67.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RUSTEC | 40c | 61.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…879ebacked KOLESIE | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed RUSTEC | 35c | 58.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 74c | 51.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed RUSTEC | 24c | 51.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed KOLESIE | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC | 29c | 47.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed KOLESIE | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed KOLESIE | 58c | 44.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed KOLESIE | 64c | 42.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed RUSTEC | 33c | 39.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked RUSTEC | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked KOLESIE | 65c | 23.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…acbbbacked KOLESIE | 64c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.