Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Buffalo Bulls vs. South Alabama Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11fd08e6c1f588bd1dc2ed5daa3969550ef1f1747a6e03f36b3518d6fc8da1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof Buffalo Bulls, South Alabama Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 3,109$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 363.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 74c | 243.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama Jaguars | 54c | 193.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 177.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 164$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 146.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 71c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 93.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 80.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South Alabama Jaguars | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 31c | 45.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Buffalo Bulls | 42c | 42.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 61c | 26.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Buffalo Bulls | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Alabama Jaguars | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo Bulls vs. South Alabama Jaguarsthis page
- Buffalo Bulls vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-2.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.