CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - DraculaN Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x121bbf58625882348fea07cdc8f14e83e65cb3b0949e5def486f3080d2e549fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof MANA eSports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 25c | 1,338$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 25c | 740.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked MANA eSports | 23c | 655$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 466.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 437.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked MANA eSports | 25c | 436.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 403$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 402.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MANA eSports | 26c | 363.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 350.01$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 120.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 117.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked MANA eSports | 29c | 108.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 105.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MANA eSports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…0e8cbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 91.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 73.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed MANA eSports | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked MANA eSports | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…e52ebacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 27.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.