Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1265735de6590581ce50874c540f33e46106be7262e9cd73b11bf0fef1027622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08e0…6f89backed Yes | 42c | 2,264$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…99edbacked No | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 70c | 736.56$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 61c | 641$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.01 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 51c | 587.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.77 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 51c | 566.35$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 535.96$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 476.62$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 428.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.17 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 34c | 384.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 351.29$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 50c | 257$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 251.61$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed No | 56c | 179.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 39c | 158$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 152.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 138.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 134.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 54c | 132.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 129.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 113.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 102.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 12c | 86.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 64c | 81.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 68.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 53c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Yes | 40c | 66.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 19c | 65.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 35c | 56.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 56.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 49c | 48.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 41.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 73c | 36.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…20dfbacked Yes | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed No | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 29.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 79c | 28.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 38c | 26.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…4e93backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 47c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 48c | 23.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 64c | 16.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.