Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Bydgoszcz Women: Daria Kuczer vs Sofia Shapatava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b203443b67687771bf59815ff126c7501d34e6c0b698676520eb82157edaa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Kuczerof Daria Kuczer, Sofia Shapatava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Shapatava | 22c | 5,409$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sofia Shapatava | 7c | 2,906$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Daria Kuczer | 56c | 1,255$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.25 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…3ff7backed Sofia Shapatava | 47c | 870$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Sofia Shapatava | 45c | 837.24$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.61 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Sofia Shapatava | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sofia Shapatava | 18c | 730.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Sofia Shapatava | 21c | 613.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofia Shapatava | 43c | 560.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Daria Kuczer | 75c | 510$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Kuczer | 79c | 498.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Daria Kuczer | 59c | 457.57$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Daria Kuczer | 79c | 375$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Sofia Shapatava | 10c | 356.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Sofia Shapatava | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sofia Shapatava | 15c | 248.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daria Kuczer | 56c | 208.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Sofia Shapatava | 22c | 184.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Sofia Shapatava | 36c | 179.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Sofia Shapatava | 27c | 165.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Sofia Shapatava | 9c | 152.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Daria Kuczer | 74c | 142.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sofia Shapatava | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Daria Kuczer | 56c | 121.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Daria Kuczer | 64c | 99.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Daria Kuczer | 64c | 96.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sofia Shapatava | 27c | 89.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sofia Shapatava | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sofia Shapatava | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…c724backed Sofia Shapatava | 13c | 77.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Daria Kuczer | 79c | 68.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Kuczer | 59c | 65.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sofia Shapatava | 44c | 59.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Daria Kuczer | 72c | 52.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sofia Shapatava | 46c | 50.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Daria Kuczer | 28c | 42.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Kuczer | 72c | 40.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Sofia Shapatava | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Daria Kuczer | 76c | 27.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daria Kuczer | 55c | 25.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Daria Kuczer | 71c | 25.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Daria Kuczer | 80c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Daria Kuczer | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Daria Kuczer | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W35 Bydgoszcz Women: Daria Kuczer vs Sofia Shapatavathis page
- Set Handicap: Kuczer (-1.5) vs Shapatava (+1.5)Shapatava won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.