NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f55985b225545ec0f50dccaf58639f47f6f00da898707ee9a9aa55f7ebe8cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 56c | 29,240$16,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,374.55 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 44c | 27,466$12,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,331.88 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 57c | 8,814$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.15 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 43c | 4,293$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.01 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,962$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 1,290$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 46c | 360.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 45c | 184.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Under | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Under | 55c | 116.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 10c | 110$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed Under | 56c | 102.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c3…08a9backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…7e8cbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…18e8backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Devils vs. BlackhawksDevils won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.