Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Enjoy (-1.5) vs Team Bald (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x131f39c5b72bc5232026a57067816e8529fe3bc6ce8d26ef545daab556107755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Enjoyof Enjoy, Team Bald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Enjoy | 36c | 3,816$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.53 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Bald | 65c | 2,147$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.7 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Bald | 64c | 1,500$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Bald | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Enjoy | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Bald | 32c | 248.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Bald | 58c | 231.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Enjoy | 72c | 164.78$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Enjoy | 36c | 144.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Enjoy | 68c | 139.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Enjoy | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Bald | 62c | 92.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Bald | 48c | 74.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Bald | 58c | 50.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Team Bald | 67c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Bald | 62c | 43.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Enjoy | 35c | 40.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Enjoy | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Bald | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Team Bald | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Bald | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Enjoy (-1.5) vs Team Bald (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEnjoy won
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 1 WinnerEnjoy won
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 2 WinnerEnjoy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.