Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b58880a83a94d84bc24c191eabdca440bba990b0687465153a558697279efb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Enjoyof Enjoy, Team Bald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Enjoy | 71c | 8,864$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.92 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Enjoy | 64c | 8,801$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Bald | 16c | 7,298$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.62 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Bald | 31c | 2,615$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.53 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Bald | 36c | 2,121$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.11 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Bald | 9c | 1,992$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Bald | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Bald | 29c | 1,685$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Bald | 29c | 1,565$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Enjoy | 80c | 1,249$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Bald | 40c | 1,081$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.93 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Bald | 25c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Bald | 20c | 1,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Bald | 20c | 1,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Bald | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Team Bald | 9c | 999.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Enjoy | 62c | 925$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Bald | 28c | 909.65$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Bald | 16c | 822.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Team Bald | 34c | 799.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Enjoy | 79c | 784.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Bald | 36c | 656.25$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Team Bald | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Bald | 23c | 580.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked Team Bald | 40c | 577.4$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Enjoy | 80c | 522$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Bald | 31c | 514.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Bald | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Enjoy | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Bald | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Bald | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Bald | 39c | 428.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Team Bald | 21c | 414.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Bald | 38c | 365$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Bald | 9c | 337.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Enjoy | 59c | 291$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…bcfabacked Team Bald | 11c | 273.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Enjoy | 80c | 255$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Team Bald | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Bald | 5c | 207$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Team Bald | 29c | 203.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Team Bald | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Bald | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…b97bbacked Team Bald | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Bald | 20c | 186$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Team Bald | 22c | 179.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Enjoy | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Team Bald | 31c | 157.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…6b53backed Team Bald | 14c | 136.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Bald | 20c | 123.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Bald | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Team Bald | 33c | 115.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Team Bald | 14c | 105.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Bald | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Enjoy | 63c | 99.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Bald | 32c | 84.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Bald | 35c | 83.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Team Bald | 41c | 81.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Enjoy | 63c | 77.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Enjoy | 63c | 77.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Bald | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked Enjoy | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Bald | 36c | 61.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…317dbacked Team Bald | 35c | 60.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Enjoy | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Bald | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Bald | 30c | 52.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Team Bald | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Enjoy | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Team Bald | 40c | 48.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Enjoy | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Bald | 35c | 39.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Enjoy | 69c | 37.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Enjoy | 67c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…23dfbacked Enjoy | 66c | 30.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Bald | 37c | 28.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Enjoy | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEnjoy won
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 2 WinnerEnjoy won
- Game Handicap: Enjoy (-1.5) vs Team Bald (+1.5)Enjoy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.