Tennis · resolved market
ITF Eupen: Mac Visser vs Louis Mouffe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1336aeca8743597c900a1b257686677fd3186ffa74d6516603395c3b922c84ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mac Visserof Mac Visser, Louis Mouffe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louis Mouffe | 16c | 9,429$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.03 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Louis Mouffe | 17c | 946.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Louis Mouffe | 16c | 930$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mac Visser | 76c | 529.53$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Louis Mouffe | 16c | 307.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Louis Mouffe | 13c | 277.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Louis Mouffe | 16c | 250.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Louis Mouffe | 24c | 240.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Louis Mouffe | 16c | 240$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mac Visser | 76c | 164.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Louis Mouffe | 24c | 130.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Louis Mouffe | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Louis Mouffe | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Louis Mouffe | 30c | 87.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…30debacked Mac Visser | 70c | 87.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Louis Mouffe | 32c | 56.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Mac Visser | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mac Visser | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mac Visser | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Mac Visser | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Mac Visser | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mac Visser | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.